Understand The Trading Arena

"It is said that if you know your enemies and know yourself, you will not be imperiled in a hundred battles; if you do not know your enemies but do know yourself, you will win one and lose one; if you do not know your enemies nor yourself, you will be imperiled in every single battle." Sun Tzu

Global Macro Analysis

Every markets are linked and should be analyse as a whole to understand what is really happening in the world

Forex Trading

The foreign exchange market is the market of choice for the retail prop shop to capitalize on macro themes.

Liquidity And Market Micro-Structure

Welcome market inefficiencies and learn to profit from them.

Trading Professionaly

Plan your trade and trade your plan.

Affichage des articles dont le libellé est COMMERZBANK. Afficher tous les articles
Affichage des articles dont le libellé est COMMERZBANK. Afficher tous les articles

vendredi 22 novembre 2013

COMMERZBANK - Sold EUR/USD From 1.3490, Sold Cable From 1.6220



EUR/USD’s recent high at 1.3584 is viewed as an intermediate peak, notes Commerzbank
"We look for the 1.3295/94 zone to be retested (current November low and the 50% retracement of the move up from July) and would again allow for this to hold the initial test. However following Wednesday’s key day reversal to the downside the risk has increased for a break lower to the 200 day moving average at 1.3219 and below here we target the 1.3167/05 region which is made out of the 61.8% retracement and the September low," CB outlines its immediate bias on the pair.
In line with this view, CB entered into a fresh short EUR/USD from 1.3490 with a stop at 1.3585, and a target at 1.3220.
Meanwhile, CB notes that GBP/USD continues to push into the upper echelons of its trading range, notes Commerzbank.
"We are not clear at this stage if this is a potential top or not but we are biased towards the top theory, given the 4 year downtrend is located just above here at 1.6305. As a consequence we continue to look for failure at the 1.6256/59 recent highs," CB outlines its immediate bias on the pair.
In line with this view, CB attempted tiny GBP/USD short from 1.6220 with a stop at 1.6370.

samedi 2 novembre 2013

COMMERZBANK - For EUR/USD, USD/JPY, & Other FX Spots



The fall in inflation in the euro zone below 1% has rekindled speculation about a further ECB rate cut, notes Commerzbank.
"As a result next week’s ECB meeting has gained added significance for EUR-USD. Should policy speculation be fuelled further in the press conference after the event, the euro might depreciate notably," CB projects.
In the table below, Commerzbank outlines its expectations for next week's trading ranges and bias for EUR/USD, and a selection of other currency pairs.